Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling costs and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.

a drop in the rate of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected typical similar sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had predicted given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.

"Renewable items' prices have actually been negatively affected by a considerable decrease in (the) diesel cost during the 3rd quarter," Neste said in a declaration.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and eco-friendly item market price premiums have remained weak," the company included.

Industry executives and experts have actually stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste's share cost had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki